Colin crushed it in Week 7, going 4-1 and moving to a healthy 21-13-1 on the year. This week he looks to keep stacking winners as we approach the halfway point of the NFL season. Stand back boys and girls, Uncle Colin’s on a heater and he loves his picks this week.
Here are Colin’s Week 8 Blazin’ 5 plays:
- Jets at Bears (-7) – Colin usually avoids laying big points like the plague, but he likes Khalil Mack and the Bears laying 7 at home against the Fighting Sam Darnold’s. The Bears defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL with 17 takeaways and will face a massively depleted Jets offense that’s given it away 16 times (t-3rd most) so far this season.
The Chicago D was miles ahead of the offense to start the year, but Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky has been sneaky good in his last three games, averaging 334.3 YPG, with 11 TD’s, 3 INT’s, and a passer rating of 115.9. Too much Bears at home. Chicago covers the 7 convincingly, 30-20.
2. Seahawks (+3) at Lions – Colin loves Russell Wilson and the recently surging Seahawks getting a field goal on the road in Detroit. The Pete Carroll era looked like it was on the brink of collapse after an 0-2 start where Seattle only averaged 20 PPG offensively and gave up 25.5 PPG with a 0 turnover differential, but Carroll has turned around by coaching up his defense. The Seahawks are 3-1 in their last 4, and only allowing 16.5 PPG, scoring 25 PPG, and have the best turnover differential in the NFL since Week 3 (+7).
The Legion of Boom days may be history, but Pete’s newest edition ranks third in scoring defense (19.5 PPG allowed) and pass defense (206.0 pass YPG allowed) this season. Defense travels. Seattle covers and wins this one outright. 27-23.
3. Bucs at Bengals (-4.5) – Colin is swallowing more points with the Bengals getting -4.5 at home against the Bucs. Tampa got a last second overtime win against the Browns at home last week, but their defense still ranks dead last in PPG Allowed (32.7), and has been getting routinely shredded by opposing QB’s to the tune of 327.5 Passing YPG (Most allowed), 18 Passing TD’s Allowed (Most allowed), and a passer rating of 125.8 (Highest allowed). Andy Dalton should carve them up. Throw in that Jameis Winston has thrown at least 2 picks in his last three starts and it adds up to a Cincy cover at home. 32-24, Bengals.
4. Niners (-2) at Cardinals – Colin usually likes taking angry teams coming off embarrassing losses, but Arizona is so bad he’s taking the Niners laying 2.5 on the road. Arizona is in a free fall thanks to an incompetent offense that ranks last in Total YPG (220.7), Rush YPG (64.6), 3rd Down Conversion % (23.1) Big Plays – 20+ Yards – (26).
The Niners may be missing Jimmy G, but their 2nd ranked ground attack (137.0 YPG) should be able to run at will against an Arizona defense that ranks last in Rush YPG Allowed (148.0). With two unwatchable teams, give Colin the better coach and organization. Take the Niners, lay the 2. 26-23, San Fran.
5. Packers (+9.5) at Rams – The Rams are the best team in the NFL, but Colin can’t pass up Aaron Rodgers getting 9.5, coming off a bye. Mike McCarthy has been getting crushed this season, but he’s 9-3 off a bye weeks, and Rodgers and the offense have been moving the ball recently.
Since Week 5, Green Bay ranks 1st in Total YPG (521.0) and Pass YPG (414.0), and 3rd in YDS/Play (7.1). The Rams have been dominant this year, but 3 of their last 4 have been decided by 7 points or less (3rd highest). The Rams are the better team, but the Packers cover getting 9.5. 30-27, Rams.